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Advisor Blog

Dalbar QAIB: The Average Investor Underperforms Again

Posted by Brent Everett
Brent Everett
Brent Everett founded Profisys, LLC, a fee-only Registered Investment Advisor, in 1998. While acting as Manag...
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on Tuesday, May 24, 2011
in Unconventional Wisdom

Dalbar is an independent research firm that evaluates mutual fund investor returns on an annual basis.  The research uses data from the Investment Company Institute (ICI), Standard and Poor's and Barclays Capital Index Products to compare mutual fund investor returns to an appropriate set of benchmarks.  The annual Quantitative Analysis of Investor Behavior (QAIB) covers the time period ending December 31, 2010.

For the 17th year in a row, the study shows that both equity and fixed income investors underperformed the broad indices.  For 2010, equity investors trailed the S&P 500 by almost 1.5% and fixed income investors underperformed the Barclays Aggregate bond index by more than 3.5%.

Why do average investors underperform broad indices by such significant amounts?  The primary reason is investor behavior - reacting to market movements and news results in never staying invested long enough to derive the benefits of a long-term strategy.  Retail investors, in particular, tend to abandon investing at the most inopportune times, often in response to bad news or market corrections.

Behavioral finance experts have identified psychological factors that help explain why investors often make buy and sell decisions that contradict best practices.  These include:

  • Loss aversion – expecting high returns with low risk.  Searching for investments that don’t exist, resulting in taking no action or selling at an imprudent time.
  • Narrow framing – making decisions without considering all implications, often resulting in quick decision making.
  • Anchoring – relating familiar experiences, even when inappropriate, leading to unrealistic expectations.
  • Mental accounting – taking undue risk in one area and avoiding rational risk in others.
  • False diversification – seeking to reduce risk by using different sources instead of understanding how asset classes interact.
  • Herding – copying the behavior of others even in the face of unfavorable outcomes.
  • Media response – reacting to news without reasonable examination.
  • Optimism – holding onto poor investments after it becomes evident that they are not likely to recover.

In order to achieve desirable results, investors must manage the behaviors that destroy long-term success.  Working with an advisor can often be helpful in this regard.  It is also important to understand your risk tolerance and construct a portfolio that does not exceed the level of volatility that you are comfortable with.  Taking excessive risk often leads to decisions to exit the market at exactly the wrong time. 

Brent Everett founded Profisys, LLC, a fee-only Registered Investment Advisor, in 1998. While acting as Managing Director of that firm, he developed the investment philosophy and the portfolio models currently used by Talis Advisors. He earned a B.S. in Computing and Information Sciences from Oklahoma State University. Mr. Everett’s background includes experience in strategic marketing, executive management and investor relations at Texas Instruments, Samsung Semiconductor, EDI, CSCI, and his own consulting practice. Brent served on the Board of Directors for CSCI, where he helped structure and negotiate management's successful purchase of the company.

Mr. Everett has been a member of the Financial Planning Association, where he was elected to the Board of Directors of the local chapter, the International Association of Financial Engineers, the Econometrics Society, the Association of Pension Professionals and Actuaries Benefits Council, the Estate Planning Council of North Texas and Mensa. He has discussed small cap stock investing on CNNfn and his views regarding investment advisor disclosure have been quoted by several major publications. Along with Scott Maxwell, Brent has been the cohost of The Peaceful Wealth Radio Hour on CNN. He was named as one of Texas Monthly magazine's "5 Star" wealth managers in 2010 and 2011 and one of D Magazine's top wealth managers in 2010.

Mr. Everett lives in Plano with his wife and their Labrador Retreiver. He has served as a member of the Business and Professional Leadership Committee of the Plano Symphony Orchestra, and enjoys reading, fly fishing, college sports, and Formula One racing.

Comments

Guest
Frank Wednesday, May 25, 2011

In other news, the sun rose in the east this morning.



Sorry, I couldn't resist! :)

Brent Everett
Brent Everett
Brent Everett founded Profisys, LLC, a fee-only Registered Investment Advisor, in 1998. While acting as Manag...
User is currently offline
Brent Everett Wednesday, May 25, 2011

Exactly! It's far too predictable - 17 years in a row. And, that's the point. :)

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Guest
Guest Sunday, May 20, 2012