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  • "Circle of Wealth" - Another Insurance Sales Scam

    Posted by Brent Everett
    Brent Everett
    Brent Everett founded Profisys, LLC, a fee-only Registered Investment Advisor, in 1998. While acting as Manag...
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    We've previously written about the insurance sales scams called "Be Your Own Bank" and "Infinite Banking".  But, the recent lies produced by the salesmen hawking a similar concept under the name "Circle of Wealth" go beyond what we've seen before.

    A "calculator" sent by the promoter of the scheme to insurance salesmen that he's trying to convince to use his system compares the performance of an Indexed Universal Life (IUL) policy to a hypothetical S&P 500 index fund.  Of course, the comparison is made over a very short time period that includes the 2008 stock market meltdown.  We once heard an insurance salesman claim that "if you take away the good years, the stock market really hasn't done very well."  Brilliant!  Here's a great example of that type of thinking. 

    Beyond this, the "analysis" makes the following assumptions for the mythical S&P 500 index fund used in the comparison:

    • Adds a 5.64% sales charge
    • Adds a 1.5% "management fee"
    • Assumes 100% annual turnover
    • Assumes that all capital gains distributions are short-term and taxed at 28%

    The truth is that anyone can purchase the Vanguard 500 Index without any sales charge and the annual expense ratio is 0.17% (less than that for share classes with larger minimum investments).  According to Morningstar, it has a 4% annual turnover ratio.  Since the fund invests in the S&P 500 index and companies very rarely spend a year or less as part of the index, most of the distributions are taxed at the advantageous long-term capital gains rate (currently a maximum of 15% - maybe going to 20% next year).

  • Global Strategic Asset Allocation vs Mutual Funds

    Posted by Brent Everett
    Brent Everett
    Brent Everett founded Profisys, LLC, a fee-only Registered Investment Advisor, in 1998. While acting as Manag...
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    buy sell holdMutual funds typically use a variety of active management techniques - stock picking, market timing and/or tactical asset allocation (overweighting the asset class or sector that they expect to perform best in the future) in an attempt to increase performance, reduce risk, or both.  In contrast, strategic asset allocation simply maintains a fixed target weight for the asset classes represented in the portfolio.  This is often described as a "buy and hold" investment philosophy and, according to much of the financial press and the salesmen pushing active management, it's outdated - "buy and hold is dead".

    The Morningstar Principia database contains detailed information on the performance of the universe of 27,780 mutual funds and exchange traded funds (ETFs) as of March 31, 2012.  This makes it possible to compare the risk-adjusted performance of a globally diversified strategic asset allocation portfolio with increased exposure to value and small cap equities to the universe of funds. 

    So, how many funds actually manage to outperform this terribly outdated method of portfolio management?  Surprisingly few.  To learn more, read the paper here.

  • Brokers and Butchers

    Posted by Brent Everett
    Brent Everett
    Brent Everett founded Profisys, LLC, a fee-only Registered Investment Advisor, in 1998. While acting as Manag...
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    “You should fire your broker and find an investment advisor. Brokerage firms would like you to think that they perform the same functions as investment advisors. Many brokers call themselves financial consultants or financial advisors. But they are not the same as independent investment advisors…an investment advisor’s fiduciary duty is on a higher plane, like that of a lawyer, a trustee, or the executor of an estate.”  – Arthur Levitt, Former SEC Chairman

    We've written several times about the importance of working with a Registered Investment Advisor (RIA) that is held to a fiduciary standard and the difference between it and the "suitability" standard that broker-dealer and insurance company salesmen are held to.  Rather than reiterate, you can read the articles here.

    Elliot Weissbluth of HighTower Advisors has put together an animated discussion that uses an analogy to explain the difference between the standards.  Although it's clear that the independent RIA business model is the best choice and the fastest growing segment of the business, it's difficult to understand why any client would still be working with a salesman instead of a fiduciary.  Maybe this will help.

    Don't get me wrong - I have friends that are butchers and I love a good steak, but I don't ask them for nutritional advice.

     

     

    Apr 25 Tags: fiduciary
  • Did your portfolio return 117% over the past 10 years? - Morningstar

    Posted by Brent Everett
    Brent Everett
    Brent Everett founded Profisys, LLC, a fee-only Registered Investment Advisor, in 1998. While acting as Manag...
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    "Did your portfolio return 117% over the past 10 years?  Ours did..."  That's the subject line in the email that was sent to investors by Morningstar.  It's obviously designed to grab your attention and if you have even a vague idea of the return that the S&P 500 generated over that time period, it probably worked.

    According to Morningstar, "The past 10 years have been, well, complicated (to say the least).  From a long, brutal recession and fitful recovery to markets driven by fear and uncertainty, it has been a real test of any investor's mettle... which makes the simplicity and success of our strategy all the sweeter... for our flagship newsletter, Morningstar StockInvestor." 

    Morningstar goes on to explain that their "tortoise portfolio" returned 123.2% and their "hare portfolio" returned 109.7% for a combined 116.5% as compared to 42.8% for the S&P 500 over the time period of 6/18/2001 through 4/1/2012.  That's actually closer to 11 years than 10 years, but I suppose that wouldn't sound as good.  If we advertised our performance in this manner, we would be in violation of SEC rules.  But, since Morningstar isn't a Registered Investment Advisor, they aren't held to the same standards.  Ignoring this, though, the performance sounds impressive - particularly when compared to the S&P 500.  But, how much risk did the portfolio take to generate this return?  We don't know because there isn't a shred of data about risk included in the advertising - no measure of beta or standard deviation anywhere.  No information about risk-adjusted return (Sharpe ratio, Treynor ratio, etc) to be found.  To call this incomplete would be a charitable description.

    OK, ignoring risk (like Morningstar did), what about the return?  The numbers certainly sound good.  So, let's compare it to something we know like, oh, say - the Talis 100 portfolio, our globally diversified equity portfolio built with DFA funds.  We can't quite match the odd time period that Morningstar chose (starting 6/18/2001), but we can look at both 6/1/2001 and 7/1/2001 through 4/1/2012 - close enough.  And those numbers (adjusted for the fund expense ratios and the highest advisory fee that we charge and subject to important disclosures found here) are 145.2% and 144.4%, respectively.  I think it's fair to say that's a significantly better result.  So, how much risk did we take to get there?  Unlike Morningstar, you can visit our website and compare the standard deviation of any of our portfolio models to appropriate benchmarks.

  • Why Panic?

    Posted by Brent Everett
    Brent Everett
    Brent Everett founded Profisys, LLC, a fee-only Registered Investment Advisor, in 1998. While acting as Manag...
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    A recent New York Times article by Tara Siegel Barnard titled "Why Panic? A couple's Nest Egg Better Left Alone" discusses the experience of a typical retired couple during the market plunge of 2008-2009.  It makes a number of good points and it is particularly interesting to us because the retired couple in the article are the parents of a long-time friend and colleague at DFA, Mark Gochnour.  Mark was the guy who happened to answer the phone when I first called DFA a dozen or so years ago. 

    Among other things, the article discusses the importance of disciplined savings, choosing a portfolio with characteristics that fit within your risk tolerance, and being able to draw income from stable high-quality bond funds during periods of stock market stress.  At a conference a couple of weeks ago, I got to see how some planners have referred to this as the portfolio's "liquidity ratio", to borrow a term from balance sheet analysis.  Essentially, this is how many years of expenses can be covered without selling equity positions in the portfolio.  For retirees that choose to work with us for financial planning/wealth management, this is typically many years - more than enough time for the stock market to recover from even a serious decline. 

    “It is really the simple things that I call the blocking and tackling of investing,” Mr. Gochnour said. “And you have to stay disciplined and stick with your plan, not only in good times but in more challenging times as well."  As the author points out, it also helps to turn off the television.

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